All strategies › Pick by metrics › Low P/E (value)
10Low P/E (value)
Hold stocks with a low price-to-earnings ratio — cheap relative to their profits.
Result
vs. All-World: Mixed
vs. TOPIX: Won
After tax and costs it returned 13.5% a year. Holding the all-world index over the same period returned 14.2%, and TOPIX 11.2%.
Growth of ¥1M (log scale, month-end). The strategy is after tax and costs; indexes include dividends. Values in ¥10,000.
The numbers
| Annual return (after tax & costs) | 13.5% |
|---|---|
| Annual return (before tax) | 16.4% |
| Difference vs. All-World (after tax) | −0.7pt |
| Difference vs. TOPIX (after tax) | +2.3pt |
| 3-year runs that beat All-World | 63% (75 runs) |
| 3-year runs that beat TOPIX | 71% (75 runs) |
| Maximum drawdown | −47.6% |
| Winning trades | 57% (212 trades) |
| Median trade return | 4.0% |
What if the exit rule were different?
Here we re-screen and rebalance every three months. Keeping the same entry but switching among 16 exit rules gives after-tax annual returns of 0.3% to 17.1% (median 9.3%). Compare with 14.2% for the all-world index.
Picking the best of 16 after the fact tends to find a lucky one, so we fixed the exit rule by strategy type in advance.
- Period: 2017-07-03 to 2026-09-30 (~9.2 years)
- ¥10M capital split equally across up to 10 stocks, 100-share lots
- Universe: average daily trading value ≥ ¥100M, price ≤ ¥10,000, listed for at least a year
- Trades at the next day's open; costs from 0.1% per side, rising with order size relative to liquidity
- Japanese tax of 20.315% (annual loss offset, 3-year loss carry-forward); dividends taxed on receipt