Do Popular Stock Strategies Work? A 10-Year Test on Japanese StocksStage B: Pick by financial metrics (screening)日本語Back to chart

All strategies › Pick by metrics › Low price-to-book (value)

9Low price-to-book (value)

Hold stocks with a low price-to-book ratio — cheap relative to their net assets.

POINT

Result

vs. All-World: Mixed
vs. TOPIX: Won

After tax and costs it returned 12.1% a year. Holding the all-world index over the same period returned 14.2%, and TOPIX 11.2%.

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All-World indexTOPIXThis strategy
Growth of ¥1M (log scale, month-end). The strategy is after tax and costs; indexes include dividends. Values in ¥10,000.
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The numbers

Annual return (after tax & costs)12.1%
Annual return (before tax)14.5%
Difference vs. All-World (after tax)−2.1pt
Difference vs. TOPIX (after tax)+1.0pt
3-year runs that beat All-World56% (75 runs)
3-year runs that beat TOPIX68% (75 runs)
Maximum drawdown−46.8%
Winning trades59% (171 trades)
Median trade return4.5%

What if the exit rule were different?

Here we re-screen and rebalance every three months. Keeping the same entry but switching among 16 exit rules gives after-tax annual returns of 4.1% to 20.9% (median 10.8%). Compare with 14.2% for the all-world index.

Picking the best of 16 after the fact tends to find a lucky one, so we fixed the exit rule by strategy type in advance.

Assumptions